-The Bayesian Heresy is MTEF: What it takes for a girl to go to school in Afghanistan

just had to pass this on!
here is the link to the nytimes article.

“My parents told me to keep coming to school even if I am killed,” said Shamsia, 17, in a moment after class. Shamsia’s mother, like nearly all of the adult women in the area, is unable to read or write. “The people who did this to me don’t want women to be educated. They want us to be stupid things.”
The Bayesian Heresy is MTEF: What it takes for a girl to go to school in Afghanistan.

Overcoming Bias: The Meta-Human Condition

My last reason is partly selfish and partly unselfish: the Meta-Human Condition thwarts attempts to fix the Human Condition. That’s the lesson of learned helplessness studies: dogs won’t press a button to stop electric shocks if they’ve previously come to believe the button is worthless. Aubrey refers to a similar idea himself: the “catatonia” that afflicts modern biogerontologists, preventing them from recognizing the urgency of the situation. As Eliezer wrote, in one of my favorite quotes, “if people got hit on the head by a baseball bat every week, pretty soon they would invent reasons why getting hit on the head with a baseball bat was a good thing.”
Today, there are people trying to eliminate parts of the Human Condition. Eliezer wants to build a Friendly AI, which could fix a surprisingly large chunk of the Human Condition. Aubrey is working on the more modest, but still Herculean, task of curing aging. Both of these guys don’t get enough funding because of the Meta-Human Condition. Most people won’t pay for a solution if they don’t want to believe that there is a problem.
Overcoming Bias: The Meta-Human Condition.

Learned Today! –Overcoming Bias: Show-Off Bias

Must be mindful of this. One must always keep his eyes on the ball. Win first show off later!

Show-Off Bias
It seems to me that self-identified smart people are biased towards complex or counter-intuitive answers to problems. The reason is simple: complex or counter-intuitive answers allow one to show off intelligence. So let’s call this bias “show off bias.”
Overcoming Bias: Show-Off Bias.

Stop The Hurting Please (An It Allegory)

I work in IT and a large part of my work is about supporting old applications and I have to say that this is so very true! read the whole thing here!

He chuckled, in that fucking annoying “Oh, you young lads, how funny you are” way that our elders have, and said:
“Being in IT is kind of like being a doctor with a patient who complains that “It hurts when I stick a fork in my eye.”
We, of course, being the logical sort, reply back, in all sincerity and earnestness, “Well, you should stop sticking a fork in your eye then.”
The user, or patient will then look at us like we really are the idiots they believe us to be and say: “No, you don’t understand…I want you to make it stop hurting.””
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Learned Today-Dokkōdō – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

I am emptying tabs and feed reader today. I can’t credit where I got the pointer but I am saying thanks to the wind for this wikipedia article!

Dokkōdō
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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The Dokkodo (独行道 Dokkōdō; “The Path of Aloneness” or “The Way to be Followed Alone”) was a work written by Miyamoto Musashi (宮本 武蔵) a week before he died in 1645. It is a short work, consisting of either nineteen or twenty-one precepts; precepts 4 and 20 are omitted from the former version. It was largely composed on the occasion of Musashi giving away his possessions in preparation for death, and was dedicated to his favorite disciple, Terao Magonojo (to whom the earlier Go rin no sho had also been dedicated), who took them to heart. It expresses a stringent, honest, and ascetic view of life.
Contents
[hide]
* 1 The precepts
* 2 Notes
* 3 References
* 4 External links
[edit] The precepts
1. Accept everything just the way it is.
2. Do not seek pleasure for its own sake.
3. Do not, under any circumstances, depend on a partial feeling.
4. Think lightly of yourself and deeply of the world.
5. Be detached from desire your whole life long.
6. Do not regret what you have done.
7. Never be jealous.
8. Never let yourself be saddened by a separation.
9. Resentment and complaint are appropriate neither for oneself or others.
10. Do not let yourself be guided by the feeling of lust or love.
11. In all things have no preferences.
12. Be indifferent to where you live.
13. Do not pursue the taste of good food.
14. Do not hold on to possessions you no longer need.
15. Do not act following customary beliefs.
16. Do not collect weapons or practice with weapons beyond what is useful.
17. Do not fear death.
18. Do not seek to possess either goods or fiefs for your old age.
19. Respect Buddha and the gods without counting on their help.[1]
20. You may abandon your own body but you must preserve your honour.
21. Never stray from the Way.
Dokkōdō – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

Yeah Like Most People I Meet!–Rate Your Students: "Students Today Are Completely Full of Shit."

Hehe, I have a tendency to be an introvert, this is because I ask people the hard questions, I often fail to not get affected. I want people to be “REAL” to have “VALUE”.
It takes a surprising amount of energy to stop myself, that’s why I often opt not to play, its hard.
Why is it hard? Because People Don’t Want The Truth. maybe They Can’t Handle The Truth.

We live in a country that seems to be in this massive state of delusion, where the idea of what you are is more important than you actually being that. And it actually works just as long as everybody’s winking at the same time. If one person stops winking, you just beat the crap out of that person, and they either starting winking or go somewhere else.
Rate Your Students: “Students Today Are Completely Full of Shit.”.

A Non Review That Made Me Want To Watch the Slumdog Millionaire–Hollywood for ugly people: awards season in Washington | David Rothkopf

I wanna watch this!

Hollywood for ugly people: awards season in Washington
Mon, 01/12/2009 – 6:46pm
The big winner at last night’s Golden Globes, Slumdog Millionaire, succeeds at levels that almost certainly never entered into the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s calculus when they voted awards for the film, its director, its screenplay and its score. They were almost certainly most focused on the extraordinarily compelling stories of its main characters, the quality of the film-making, the deft structure, acting, directing, the usual stuff of movie-making. But the film captures the life and the spirit of Mumbai and of much of India, depicts a world alien to most in America who will see it, and at the same time both captures and, through its own success worldwide, illustrates the transformation not just of its of its leading character, Jamal, but of his ever-present co-star, modern India itself.
Juxtaposing the brutal poverty of Mumbai’s slums with the glitter and promise of a global television phenomenon like “Who Wants to be a Millionaire?”, the film offers a kind of energizing fugal counterpoint that is full of hope and at the same time condemnation of the gaps that divide the poorest from the globalizing world. Jamal, like all picaresque heroes, becomes our guide, introducing us first to the crushing poverty of the world into which he was born and then to the steps he takes up the path he and his brother follow in search first of survival and later of more rewarding lives. It is almost inevitable that such an evocation of contemporary India must lead him through a job in a call center…just as his ultimate deliverance through his performance on the game show places him in the most global setting possible because it is also the most culturally denuded setting possible. The world is never flatter (which is to say more two dimensional) than it is on an international game-show hit. His use of a cell phone as a lifeline in the game echoes the role that modern technology is playing in transforming the world of even the poorest. The scene in which he and his brother stand atop sky scrapers that overlook what once was the slum from which they came also speaks to the stunning degree of the changes sweeping their country, even as the brother’s enrichment as a cog in a gangster’s empire comments on the mixed bag that rapid prosperity brings with it. (As the recent scandal at Satyam also illustrates.)
But beyond the effectiveness of the structure in which each chapter of his life is linked to a question he faces on “Millionaire,” beyond the way the story provides a window into many of the themes central to an Indian transformation that echoes Jamal’s, what is most potent and ultimately transcendent about the movie are the scenes of Jamal, his brother Salim and Jamal’s life-long love Latika as children facing brutality and the very worst hands fate can deal us with extraordinary hope, with laughter, and with inextinguishable vitality. They should despair. But they always believe there is something more. It’s this spirit, which I have seen in every struggling corner of the planet and which I feel in particular animates all of India that is so indelible and telling. That anyone should ever suffer as so many children do — and roughly 40,000 die every day of preventable causes worldwide — is inexcusable but that it does not crush them and still these great countries are finding a path to elevate themselves is the story and the great hope of the 21st century. (And their fate is our greatest responsibility.)
Hollywood for ugly people: awards season in Washington | David Rothkopf.

Rules Of Thumb — Marginal Revolution: Rationality is a Property of Equilibrium

I have a post on rules of thumb written in one of my notebooks (The problems of only being able to write in using pen and paper, is you have to type it later, argh).
One of my points is that Rules Of Thumbs are incomplete if they are not accompanied with the bounds that they are effective.

Rationality is a Property of Equilibrium
Some thoughts on rationality and economics, perhaps for a future paper, motivated by the financial panic:
Rationality is a property of equilibrium. By this I mean that rationality is habitual and experience-based and it becomes effective as it becomes embedded in the rules of thumb and collective wisdom of market participants. Rules of thumb approximate rational decision rules as market participants become familiar with an economic environment. Individuals per se are not very rational; shift the equilibrium enough so that the old rules of thumb no longer apply and we are likely to see bubbles, manias, panics and crashes. Significant innovation is thus almost always going to come accompanied with a wave of irrationality. When we shift to a significant, new equilibrium rationality itself is not strong enough to tie down behavior and unmoored by either reason or experience individuals flail about liked naked apes – this is the realm of behavioral economics. Given time, however, new rules of thumb evolve and rationality once again rules but only until the next big innovation arrives.
Posted by Alex Tabarrok on January 13, 2009 at 07:20 AM | Permalink
Marginal Revolution: Rationality is a Property of Equilibrium.

I Am A Producer!

I believe I am and I will do everything I can to be right1

While it’s true you’re likely a mixture of both types and will experience fluctuation in your ratio of production vs. consumption from one month to the next, unless your name is Robert Scoble you have to choose one or the other.
To recap:
* Consuming for the pure love of learning is absolutely ok.
* Producing purely because you have a fire that won’t die until you do is fine, too.
* But don’t kid yourself about who you are.
If you’ve been reading startup blogs for years and never started anything, it’s time to accept that you’re a consumer.
If you have 50 software product ideas and your hard drive is littered with folders containing 30 lines of code from each, you’re a consumer (or at least a producer who has trouble finishing things).
And if you figure out that you are a producer, stop daydreaming about the day you’ll make things happen. Start making it happen in the next 30 days, or forever hold your peace.
The Single Most Important Career Question You Can Ask Yourself | Software by Rob.

Why I Never Got Into Guitar Hero-Rough Type: Nicholas Carr's Blog: Complete control

Guitar Hero is in that sweet spot where it is hard enough to get the competitive juices flowing , but not hard enough to turn of a mass of people that would require playing it to recoupe all the expenses in licensing /creating /all production and marketing expenses.
If I was to waste as much time in doing something, I’d probably just learn the damn instrument (Guitar) and try to create music. I saw the ted talk of the Guitar Hero creator, and I admire his desire to bring music to everyone. I hope this funded his research, because it is far from successful if that is his goal.
I hate it when I have strong feelings on something, I tend to be incoherent, too many thoughts wanting to express themselves simultaneously and  when you get around to it the thought is lost.

“I’ve been puzzled by the popularity of the game Guitar Hero,” writes Rob Horning at PopMatters. “If you want a more interactive way to enjoy music, why not dance, or play air guitar? Or better yet, if holding a guitar appeals to you, why not try actually learning how to play? For the cost of an Xbox and the Guitar Hero game, you can get yourself a pretty good guitar.” Horning, apparently, doesn’t quite get the point of prosumerism; its joys are lost on him. He continues: “I can’t help but feel that Guitar Hero (much like Twitter) would have been utterly incomprehensible to earlier generations, that it is a symptom of some larger social refusal to embrace difficulty.”
Rough Type: Nicholas Carr’s Blog: Complete control.