Learned Today::The rise of the irreligious Left : Gene Expression

This was a very interesting post, half of which won’t interest people who doesn’t care for scatter-plots /voter preferences etc.
The possibility is just wow. Imagine when or if Vermont becomes the first minority non-Christian state. What happens to the extra rights religious organizations enjoy whence a majority no longer believe in organized religion. Imagine the research papers one could write about how Vermont is so much better or worse compare to other more religious states. This is wow. To say the possibilities are interesting is a grave understatement.

The rise of the irreligious Left
Posted on: January 24, 2010 6:36 PM, by Razib Khan
Barry Kosmin at CUNY has published the results of three surveys of American religion since 1990. These “American Religious Identification Surveys” (ARIS) were done in 1990, another in 2001, and finally in 2008. One of the major findings of the ARIS has been the rise of those who avow “No Religion”. Looking through the data it is also clear that aggregating nationally understates some of the local changes. In 1990 47% Vermonters were non-Catholic Christians (i.e., Protestants). In 2008 29% were. In 1990 13% of Vermonters had No Religion. In 2008 34% of Vermonters had No Religion! In fact, No Religion has a plural majority in Vermont, with 26% of the population being Catholic. This is a much bigger shift than nationally. In Kosmin’s book One Nation Under God, which drew upon the 1990 survey results, he noted that though the Northeast has a reputation for being relatively secular, it is in fact highly confessionalized in comparison to other regions, such as the Pacific Northwest. This isn’t true anymore; much of New England has experienced a wave of rapid secularization and disaffiliation. If current rates of secularization continue Vermont may become the first minority non-Christian state. It was only 55% Christian in 2008.
via The rise of the irreligious Left : Gene Expression.

rePost::The 4 Big Myths of Profile Pictures « OkTrends

Interesting read.

The 4 Big Myths of Profile Pictures
January 20th, 2010 by Christian
Hello, old friends. I am back from dark months of data mining, here now to present my ores. To write this piece, we cataloged over 7,000 photographs on OkCupid.com, analyzing three primary things:
* Facial Attitude. Is the person smiling? Staring straight ahead? Doing that flirty lip-pursing thing?
* Photo Context. Is there alcohol? Is there a pet? Is the photo outdoors? Is it in a bedroom?
* Skin. How much skin is the person showing? How much face? How much breasts? How much ripped abs?
via The 4 Big Myths of Profile Pictures « OkTrends.

Interesting Read::The Girl Who Conned The Ivy League : Rolling Stone

The Girl Who Conned The Ivy League
How a high school dropout created the ultimate fake ID, scammed her way into Harvard and Columbia, and became the target of a nationwide manhunt
SABRINA RUBIN ERDELY
Posted Jan 12, 2010 2:31 PM
Brooke Henson knew she was in trouble when she logged in to her e-mail account at Columbia University and found a message from the campus-security office. She stared at the computer screen, feeling that familiar anxiety rising. You'll be fine, she reassured herself. Think positive thoughts, just like her therapist had taught her. Surely she would get out of this scrape the same way she'd gotten out of all the other ones: with smooth talk and little lies. OK, big lies.
She dialed campus security. “Hi,” she said, her voice controlled. “This is Brooke Henson.”
The officer told her that he had gotten a curious call from police detectives in South Carolina who were trying to crack a missing-person case. “There's something I need to ask you,” the officer continued. “Are you Brooke Henson?” The young woman who had disappeared from the rural South Carolina town of Travelers Rest seven years earlier? The girl whose grieving family had been searching for her ever since? The Brooke Henson who was presumed murdered?
“Yes,” Brooke said into the phone. “That's me.”
Her mind raced through her options. On the one hand, she had a purse full of proof that she was Brooke: her student ID, a Vermont driver's license, a U.S. passport, an Ohio identification card, a South Carolina birth certificate. She had a part-time job, a rented apartment not far from campus on New York's Upper West Side and a full course load at Columbia, all registered under the name Brooke Henson.
On the other hand, she wasn't Brooke Henson.
via The Girl Who Conned The Ivy League : Rolling Stone.

rePost::Analytics X Prize – Home

must file in the maybe part of my to do list!!!!

Welcome to the Analytics X Prize
The Analytics X Prize is an ongoing contest to apply analytics, modeling, and statistics to solve the social problems that affect our cities. It combines the fields of statistics, mathematics, and social science to understand the root causes of dysfunction in our neighborhoods. Understanding these relationships and discovering the most highly correlated variables allows us to deploy our limited resources more effectively and target the variables that will have the greatest positive impact on improvement.
Current Contest – 2010 – Predicting Homicides in Philadelphia
Philadelphia is a city with 5.8 million people spread out over 47 zip codes and, like any major city, it has its share of crime. The goal of the Analytics X Prize is to use statistical techniques and any data sets you can find to predict where crime, specifically homicides, will occur in the city. The ability to accurately predict where crime is likely to occur allows us to deploy our limited city resources more effectively. Full rules can be found on the Rules & FAQ page.
via Analytics X Prize – Home.

rePost::The Trials of Tony Judt – The Chronicle Review – The Chronicle of Higher Education

This was a an excellent read , both of the ideas and the person with the ideas Tony Judt. I cannot even imagine how hard it is to have ALS. I was recently called restless by someone, I guess I am. To think I initially have to walk around, till I can get focused, after I am focused then I can hunker down and actually do stuff. We develop these habits that become part of our MO, to get ALS and suddenly need to change how one thinks is something quite unbearable for me.
READ THE WHOLE THING!!!!!

To abandon the gains made by social democrats—the New Deal, the Great Society, the European welfare state—”is to betray those who came before us as well as generations yet to come.”
The lecture, which lasted nearly two hours, yoked together a few themes that have long preoccupied Judt: the role of intellectuals and ideas in political life, and the failure of both Americans and Europeans to understand and learn from the past century. (We live, Judt has written, in an “age of forgetting.”) He concluded his remarks on a pragmatic note. “It would be pleasing—but misleading—to report that social democracy, or something like it, represents the future that we would paint for ourselves in an ideal world,” he said, carefully pronouncing each word. “It does not even represent the ideal past. But, among the options available to us in the present, it is better than anything else to hand.”
The standing ovation was tremendous. “I was initially shocked by the disjunction between his intellectual capacity, which is completely undiminished and in many respects unequaled, and the physical degradation,” says Richard Wolin, a professor of history at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York, who was in the audience. “But after five minutes, I lost sight of any physicality and focused on his words and their importance.” He adds, “It was one of the most moving scenes I have ever witnessed.”
About a month later, I meet Judt at his apartment, on the upper floor of a tall brick building near Washington Square Park, where he lives with his wife, the dance critic Jennifer Homans, and their two teenage children. A sign on the door asks visitors to wash their hands. Judt's nurse, a young man, silently leads me through the spacious, immaculate wood-floored apartment to a book-lined study, where Judt is waiting in his wheelchair, head against a tan pillow, hands on lap, feet bare and swollen. At 61, he has close-cropped hair and a graying beard. Dressed in a maroon T-shirt and flannel pants, he peers out through circular glasses. A wireless microphone is affixed to his left ear. Though we are sitting only a few feet apart, his nurse flips the power switch, and Judt's faint voice suddenly booms out of a nearby speaker.
“We have watched the decline of 80 years of great investment in public services,” he says. “We are throwing away the efforts, ideas, and ambitions of the past.” It is plainly difficult for him to speak, but he is doggedly eloquent. His eyes, forced to do the work of his entire body, are strikingly expressive; when he gets excited, he arches his brows high and opens them wide, which he does when he says, “Communism was a very defective answer to some very good questions. In throwing out the bad answer, we have forgotten the good questions. I want to put the good questions back on the table.”
I ask how he felt after the lecture. “Elated,” Judt replies simply. Some friends and colleagues had encouraged him to scrap his planned remarks and speak instead about ALS. “I thought about it,” Judt says, “but I have nothing new to say about ALS. I do have something new to say about social democracy, and by saying it in my condition I can maybe have some influence on people's understanding of sickness.” He takes a deep breath. “There is something to be said for simply doing the thing you would do anyway, doing it as well as you can under the circumstances, and getting past the sympathy vote as soon as possible.”
via The Trials of Tony Judt – The Chronicle Review – The Chronicle of Higher Education.

Interesting ViewPoint:: Let them eat cake: Interpersonal Problems vs Tasks

People having trouble in those areas may ask for advice, perhaps out of a latent effort to turn the problem into more of a task. Yet a lot of conventional advice doesn’t really turn the problem into the task (at least, not for everyone), but rather poses new problems, due to difficulties that Alicorn mentioned, such as lack of resources, lack of propositional knowledge, or lack of procedural knowledge.
Take, for example, “just be yourself,” or “just meet potential partners through friends.” For many people, these pieces of advice just open up new problems: being oneself is a problem of personal identity. It's not a task that you can execute as part of a step in solving the problem of dating. Having a social network, let alone one that will introduce you to potential partners, is also a problem for many people. Consequently, these pieces of advice sound like “let them eat cake.”
Society in general resists the notion that socializing (dating and mating in particular) is a problem. Rather, society treats it as a solved task, yet the procedures it advocates are incomplete, dependent on unacknowledged contextual factors, big hairy problems of their own, or just plain wrong. (Or it gives advice that consists of true observations that are useless for taskification, like “everyone is looking for something different” in a mate. Imagine telling a budding chef: “everyone has different tastes” in food. It’s true, but it isn’t actually useful in taskifying a problem like “how do I cook a meal?”)
via Less Wrong: Let them eat cake: Interpersonal Problems vs Tasks.

Interesting::Overcoming Bias : Naked Promiscuity

Men in the mating condition … said they would spend more money on the conspicuous luxuries. … Women in the mating condition … said they would spend more time on conspicuous pro-social volunteering. … Mating-primed women … said they would spend more on generosity-signalling conspicuous spending; mating-primed men did the same. Also, mating-primed men … said they would do more heroic helping, but not more non-heroic helping. … Moreover, men who were most interested in promiscuous, short-term sexual liaisons showed the largest increase after the mating priming in both generosity-signalling conspicuous spending and in heroic benevolence. …
via Overcoming Bias : Naked Promiscuity.

Interesting. This paragraph caught my attention but the whole article is worth reading.

rePost::Free Will and Ethics : The Frontal Cortex

At the very least, free will is a useful illusion, leading us to be more prosocial and ethical. Because even if we are just “a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules,” we’re a vast assembly that feels like so much more. William James, as usual, said it best: “My first act of free will shall be to believe in free will.”
via Free Will and Ethics : The Frontal Cortex.

The quoted blog post links to three studies on free will that is very interesting and you would do well to read (at least the original blog post and if that wasn’t enough for you the linked studies.) I generally believe in living rationally and the importance of truth in everything, but if for some people the truth is a little too hard, maybe for some delusion would be okay!!!!

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rePost::Overcoming Bias : Key Disputed Values

Rich communities achieve more when divorce and abortion limit the harm of volatile families, while poor communities can’t afford such breakups. Poor competing communities can’t afford arbitrary cultural barriers to getting cash or tech, but such arbitrary restrictions hurt a family less if its neighbors are similarly restricted.
via Overcoming Bias : Key Disputed Values.

I see this as the reason why there was a trend when a lot of rich Filipino couples opted to get married in other countries where divorce is legal.