{"id":7814,"date":"2019-04-07T23:29:28","date_gmt":"2019-04-07T23:29:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/?p=7814"},"modified":"2019-04-07T23:29:28","modified_gmt":"2019-04-07T23:29:28","slug":"when-we-say-70-percent-it-really-means-70-percent-fivethirtyeight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/07\/when-we-say-70-percent-it-really-means-70-percent-fivethirtyeight\/","title":{"rendered":"When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent &#124; FiveThirtyEight"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>One of FiveThirtyEight\u2019s goals has always been to get people to think more carefully about probability. When we\u2019re forecasting an upcoming election or sporting event, we\u2019ll go to great lengths to analyze and explain the sources of real-world uncertainty and the extent to which events \u2014 say, a Senate race in Texas and another one in Florida \u2014 are correlated with one another. We\u2019ll spend a lot of time working on how to build robust models that don\u2019t suffer from p-hacking or overfitting and which will perform<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Source: <em><a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/when-we-say-70-percent-it-really-means-70-percent\/?utm_source=pocket&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=pockethits\">When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent | FiveThirtyEight<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of FiveThirtyEight\u2019s goals has always been to get people to think more carefully about probability. When we\u2019re forecasting an upcoming election or sporting event, we\u2019ll go to great lengths to analyze and explain the sources of real-world uncertainty and the extent to which events \u2014 say, a Senate race in Texas and another one &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/2019\/04\/07\/when-we-say-70-percent-it-really-means-70-percent-fivethirtyeight\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent &#124; FiveThirtyEight&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-personal-angol"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7814"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7814\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/onthe8spot.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}